Market Recap – Still In Red Zone

Wow, what a crazy roller coaster ride again today. Check out the intraday SPX chart..
 
 
Unless you timed it correctly, even scalps where difficult to participate in.   I’ve been preaching the need to shorten trades, avoid swings, and focus on scalps. But, now that intraday swings are chaotic, it is prudent to make even scalps shorter time periods – maybe 30 minutes to an hour. And, more importantly, set stops and get out the second the move fails on you. A few ideas that might help with that process:

 

·        Scalp stocks that are highly liquid (average volume over 1 million/day)

·        I like the 3 minute, 3 day intraday chart as the primary tool for determining entry, targets, and stops.

·        Look for volume moves and resistance support levels. 

·        Think about your commissions.. Scalping all day can break the bank once you pay your fees and commissions. Scalping is generally beneficial to larger trade blocks, but you MUST exit the trade the second it fails.

·        Practice, practice, practice

 

If you step back and look at the larger picture today, you’ll see that we’re still in my Red Zone – the area of few trades and extreme caution (see my last blog for more on this). The good news, is that the market was up today AND we saw improving volume – not too significant, but noticeable.

 
 
So, from a technical view, what happened today?

 

It looks like the highly discussed 1040 on the SPX WAS the magic number. As soon as we pulled back to 1040, it rebounded back up. Is this a reversal? Time for a bull move? It’s too early to say, but it was definitely a good start. 9800 on the DOW and 1040 on the SPX are still important support levels to watch tomorrow. In the meantime, I’m not going to change my trading strategy while we’re hanging out in the red zone. 

 

Look for a few charts from my twitter stream tonight – setups for long trades just in case the move continues bullish.

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